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XEL
NASDAQ Energy & Transportation

Xcel Energy Reports Q1 Earnings Growth, Reaffirms 2026 Guidance, Secures Major Google Data Center Deal

Analysis by Arik Shkolnikov
Sentiment info
Neutral
Importance info
7
Price
$78.63
Mkt Cap
$49.196B
52W Low
$65.21
52W High
$84.23
Market data snapshot near publication time

summarizeSummary

Xcel Energy reported increased first-quarter ongoing earnings and reaffirmed its 2026 EPS guidance, driven by infrastructure investments and sales growth, despite warm weather. The company also announced a significant agreement to power a new Google data center and provided updates on ongoing wildfire litigation and substantial financing activities.


check_boxKey Events

  • Q1 Earnings Performance

    Ongoing earnings per share increased to $0.91 in Q1 2026, compared to $0.84 in Q1 2025, driven by electric infrastructure investments and sales growth.

  • 2026 Guidance Reaffirmed

    The company reaffirmed its 2026 ongoing earnings per share guidance in the range of $4.04 to $4.16.

  • Google Data Center Agreement

    NSP-Minnesota entered an electric service agreement to power a new Google data center, expected to result in approximately $1.1 billion of benefits to customers.

  • Wildfire Litigation Updates

    PSCo recognized a $22 million credit to earnings from increased estimated insurance recovery for Marshall Wildfire costs. SPS reported $397 million in Smokehouse Creek Fire settlements, with estimated total losses and costs of $500 million, and approximately $90 million of insurance coverage remaining.


auto_awesomeAnalysis

Xcel Energy's first-quarter results demonstrate continued operational strength, with increased ongoing earnings and reaffirmed full-year guidance, despite the impact of unseasonably warm weather. The new agreement to power a Google data center in Minnesota is a significant positive development, signaling strong demand growth and future infrastructure investment opportunities for the NSP-Minnesota subsidiary. This deal is expected to generate substantial benefits for customers. While the company saw a positive adjustment from increased insurance recovery for the Marshall Wildfire litigation, the ongoing Smokehouse Creek Fire litigation remains a material risk, with reported settlements and estimated losses potentially exceeding available insurance coverage. The substantial capital raising through forward sale agreements highlights the company's commitment to funding its large capital investment plan, which is necessary for grid modernization and clean energy expansion, but also introduces dilution. Investors should monitor the progress of the Smokehouse litigation and the execution of the Google data center agreement.

At the time of this filing, XEL was trading at $78.63 on NASDAQ in the Energy & Transportation sector, with a market capitalization of approximately $49.2B. The 52-week trading range was $65.21 to $84.23. This filing was assessed with neutral market sentiment and an importance score of 7 out of 10.

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