ConocoPhillips Reports Q4 & Full-Year 2025 Results, Announces 2026 Guidance and Dividend
COP sits 33% above its 52-week low of $79.88.
Summary
ConocoPhillips reported lower fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings compared to the prior year, primarily due to lower realized prices, but highlighted strong operational performance, increased production, and consistent 2026 guidance.
Key Events · Earnings and Guidance · COP
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Q4 2025 Adjusted Earnings Decline
Reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $1.02, down from $1.98 in the fourth quarter of 2024, primarily due to lower realized prices.
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Full-Year 2025 Adjusted Earnings Decline
Full-year 2025 adjusted earnings per share were $6.16, compared to $7.79 for full-year 2024.
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2026 Guidance Provided
Announced 2026 guidance, including full-year capital expenditures of approximately $12 billion, adjusted operating costs of $10.2 billion, and production guidance of 2.33 to 2.36 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (MMBOED), consistent with preliminary guidance.
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Ordinary Dividend Declared
Declared a first-quarter 2026 ordinary dividend of $0.84 per share.
Analysis · COP · Energy & Transportation
ConocoPhillips' latest earnings report presents a mixed financial picture for 2025, with both fourth-quarter and full-year adjusted earnings per share significantly lower than the previous year, largely attributed to a 19% decline in average realized prices. Despite this, the company demonstrated strong operational performance, achieving 2.5% underlying production growth and outperforming its initial production, capital, and cost guidance. The successful integration of Marathon Oil, doubling synergy capture to over $1 billion, and a commitment to a $1 billion reduction in capital and costs for 2026, alongside an expected $7 billion in incremental free cash flow by 2029, provide a positive outlook. The 2026 capital expenditure and operating cost guidance remains consistent with preliminary figures, suggesting stability in future plans. Investors will likely weigh the impact of lower commodity prices on past performance against the company's robust operational execution and strategic initiatives aimed at future efficiency and shareholder returns.
At the time of this filing, COP was trading at $106.58 on NYSE in the Energy & Transportation sector, with a market capitalization of approximately $133B. The 52-week trading range was $79.88 to $108.34. This filing was assessed with neutral market sentiment and an importance score of 8 out of 10.