Maplebear (Instacart) Reports Strong Q4 & FY25 Results, Initiates Positive Q1 2026 Guidance
CART is trading near its 52-week low of $32.73 (13% above the low) on elevated volume (1.8× avg).
Summary
Instacart reported robust Q4 and full-year 2025 financial results, highlighted by strong GTV growth and a substantial $1.1 billion share repurchase in Q4, alongside positive Q1 2026 guidance.
Key Events · Earnings and Guidance · CART
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Strong Q4 2025 Performance
Gross Transaction Value (GTV) increased 14% year-over-year to $9.85 billion, marking the strongest quarterly GTV growth in three years. Adjusted EBITDA grew 20% year-over-year to $303 million.
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Significant Share Repurchase Program
The company repurchased $1.1 billion of shares in Q4 2025, contributing to a total of $1.4 billion in share repurchases for the full year 2025, demonstrating a strong commitment to capital return.
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Positive Q1 2026 Financial Outlook
Maplebear forecasts Q1 2026 GTV between $10.125 billion and $10.275 billion (11-13% YoY growth) and Adjusted EBITDA between $280 million and $290 million (15-19% YoY growth).
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Full Year 2025 Highlights
Full year GTV reached $37.22 billion, up 11% year-over-year, with Adjusted EBITDA increasing 23% to $1.087 billion. Operating cash flow for the year was $971 million.
Analysis · CART · Trade & Services
Maplebear Inc. (Instacart) delivered robust financial results for Q4 and the full year 2025, demonstrating significant operational momentum. The company achieved its strongest quarterly Gross Transaction Value (GTV) growth in three years, alongside a substantial increase in Adjusted EBITDA. A key highlight is the aggressive capital return strategy, with $1.1 billion in share repurchases during Q4 alone, signaling strong management confidence and efficient capital deployment. While GAAP net income saw a decline in Q4, this was primarily attributed to a non-recurring $60 million FTC settlement, which should be considered when evaluating profitability. The positive outlook for Q1 2026, with projected GTV and Adjusted EBITDA growth, further reinforces a strong trajectory for the company.
At the time of this filing, CART was trading at $37.12 on NASDAQ in the Trade & Services sector, with a market capitalization of approximately $8.7B. The 52-week trading range was $32.73 to $53.50. This filing was assessed with positive market sentiment and an importance score of 9 out of 10.