Aeroméxico Posts Record $1.6B 3Q26 Revenue but Profit Falls 58% on Fuel Costs
AERO sits 28% above its 52-week low of $12.26 on elevated volume (3.6× avg).
Summary
Aeroméxico set a record $1.6 billion revenue quarter but net income fell 58% to $40.6 million as fuel costs ran $93 million over plan; 4Q26 margin guidance steps down to 19.5-21.5%.
Key Events · Earnings and Guidance · AERO
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Record Revenue, Weaker Profit
3Q26 revenue reached a record $1,619 million, up 13.6% year over year, but operating income fell 25.0% to $189.6 million and net income dropped 58.1% to $40.6 million.
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Fuel Overshoot Eats the Quarter
Fuel expense rose 57.6% to $469.0 million, about $93.0 million above the company's 3Q26 guidance, with fuel at $3.99 per gallon versus $2.48 a year earlier.
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Fourth-Quarter Margin Guidance Steps Down
4Q26 Adjusted EBITDAR margin is guided to 19.5-21.5% versus the 24.0% just reported, on revenue growth of 14-16% and capacity growth of 7-8%; FY26 margin guided to 21.5-22.5%.
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Liquidity and Leverage Hold
Liquidity was $1.2 billion (20.7% of LTM revenue) after the revolver was renewed and upsized from $200 million to $250 million; net leverage was 2.1x and $7.2 million of financial debt was repaid in the quarter.
Analysis · AERO · Energy & Transportation
Revenue hit a quarterly record of $1.6 billion, up 13.6%, and the 24% EBITDAR margin shows the airline passed through most of a 57.6% fuel-cost jump. But the bottom line did not keep up: operating income fell 25% to $189.6 million and net income dropped 58% to $40.6 million, with fuel running $93 million above the company's own 3Q26 plan. Management's 4Q26 guide of 19.5-21.5% EBITDAR margin is below the 24% just delivered, so the fuel squeeze is expected to persist into year-end. The balance sheet is the offset — $1.2 billion of liquidity, 2.1x net leverage, and a revolver upsized to $250 million — so this is a margin story, not a solvency one.
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In the 30 days to Oct 20, 2026, 29.2% of the 1466 measured filings Wiseek scored 7 moved their stock by 5% or more by the next session's close. The median move was -0.57%. These are measured outcomes after filings of this importance, not a forecast for this one.
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At the time of this filing, AERO was trading at $15.72 on NYSE in the Energy & Transportation sector, with a market capitalization of approximately $2.3B. The 52-week trading range was $12.26 to $23.05. This filing was assessed with negative market sentiment and an importance score of 7 out of 10.