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REAL
NASDAQ Trade & Services

TheRealReal 10-Q: Q3 Revenue $206M, $16M Net Income, $130M Cash After Fortress Refi

Arie Shkolnikov · Analysis by Wiseek AI
More coverage: Consumer
Sentiment info
Positive
Importance info
8
Price
$11.7
Mkt Cap
$1.381B
52W Low
$8.05
52W High
$17.392
52W Position info
45% above low
Off High info
33% below high
Rel. Volume info
2.9× avg
Market data snapshot near publication time

REAL sits 45% above its 52-week low of $8.05 on elevated volume (2.9× avg).

Summary

TheRealReal's Q3 10-Q confirms $206M revenue (+19%) and $16M net income, though $21.2M of that is a non-cash warrant remeasurement gain. Cash stands at $130.4M after the October Fortress refinancing replaced the 13% 2029 notes.


Key Events · Earnings and Guidance · REAL

  • Q3 Revenue and Margins Expand

    Revenue rose 19% to $206.1M from $173.6M, gross margin improved 64 basis points to 74.9%, and the company posted $1.5M of operating income versus a $7.6M loss a year ago.

  • Net Income Is Mostly Non-Cash

    The $16.0M net income includes a $21.2M non-cash gain from the change in fair value of the warrant liability, driven by the stock price falling to $8.84 from $15.78 at year-end — no cash moved and no new shares were issued from the remeasurement.

  • Cash Flow Turns Positive

    Nine-month operating cash flow was $10.0M versus $(12.5)M used in the prior-year period; cash and equivalents ended the quarter at $130.4M, down from $151.2M at December 31, 2025.

  • Fortress Refinancing Closes

    On October 19, 2026 the company borrowed $150.0M under a Fortress term loan at SOFR+5.75% and used it plus cash to redeem all $150.0M of 13% 2029 notes; a $25.0M revolver is undrawn. Covenants require first lien leverage of no more than 4.75x through 2028 and at least $25.0M of liquidity.


Analysis · REAL · Trade & Services

The headline numbers were already out this evening via the 8-K, but the full 10-Q fills in the balance sheet and cash flow that determine whether the turnaround is real. Revenue of $206.1M (+19%) and gross margin of 74.9% produced $1.5M of operating income, and nine-month operating cash flow flipped positive to $10.0M from $(12.5)M a year ago. Note that the $16.0M of net income is not operating profit: it includes a $21.2M non-cash gain from remeasuring the warrant liability, which fell because the stock price dropped from $15.78 to $8.84 during the period — a mark-to-market entry, not cash and not new dilution. Cash fell to $130.4M from $151.2M at year-end, and the October refinancing replaced the 13% 2029 notes with a $150.0M Fortress term loan at SOFR+5.75%, cutting interest cost but adding leverage covenants (max 4.75x first lien through 2028, $25M minimum liquidity). October cashless warrant exercises added 2,062,760 shares, leaving 4,664,796 warrants outstanding.

How filings like this one have moved

In the 30 days to Oct 29, 2026, 38.8% of the 970 measured filings Wiseek scored 8 moved their stock by 5% or more by the next session's close. The median move was -0.46%. These are measured outcomes after filings of this importance, not a forecast for this one.

Measured one observation per ticker per day, after exclusions. Current figures: Filing Impact Tracker · open dataset

At the time of this filing, REAL was trading at $11.70 on NASDAQ in the Trade & Services sector, with a market capitalization of approximately $1.4B. The 52-week trading range was $8.05 to $17.39. This filing was assessed with positive market sentiment and an importance score of 8 out of 10.

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REAL - Latest Insights

REAL
Oct 29, 2026, 4:19 PM EDT
Source: Reuters
Importance Score:
8
Price at Filing: $12.08
Real-time Price: $11.61 info
Change: -$0.465 (-4%) info
Market Cap: $1.381B info
REAL
Oct 29, 2026, 4:17 PM EDT
Filing Type: 8-K
Importance Score:
8
Price at Filing: $11.70
Real-time Price: $11.61 info
Change: -$0.090 (-0.77%) info
Market Cap: $1.381B info
REAL
Oct 15, 2026, 8:27 AM EDT
Filing Type: 8-K
Importance Score:
7
Price at Filing: $9.07
Real-time Price: $11.61 info
Change: +$2.54 (+28%) info
Market Cap: $1.381B info
REAL
Oct 15, 2026, 8:15 AM EDT
Source: PR Newswire
Importance Score:
7
Price at Filing: $9.07
Real-time Price: $11.61 info
Change: +$2.54 (+28%) info
Market Cap: $1.381B info
REAL
Aug 06, 2026, 4:45 PM EDT
Source: Reuters
Importance Score:
8
Price at Filing: $13.15
Real-time Price: $11.61 info
Change: -$1.54 (-12%) info
Market Cap: $1.381B info