Maximus Q3 Revenue Misses, But EPS Beats; Guidance Cut on Federal Contract Modification
MMS is trading near its 52-week low of $52.73 (12% above the low).
Summary
Maximus Q3 revenue fell 5% to $1.28B, missing estimates, but adjusted EPS of $2.22 beat. Full-year earnings guidance was cut due to a temporary federal contract modification, overshadowing the beat.
Key Events · Earnings and Guidance · MMS
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Revenue Miss, EPS Beat
Q3 revenue of $1.28B missed the $1.33B consensus, down 5% YoY. Adjusted diluted EPS of $2.22 beat by $0.06, driven by efficiency initiatives.
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Guidance Cut on Contract Modification
Full-year adjusted diluted EPS guidance lowered to $7.90-$8.20 from prior implied ~$8.50 midpoint, due to a temporary customer-directed contractual modification on a major federal program effective July 1, 2026.
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Segment Margin Impact
U.S. Federal Services segment operating margin expected to decline to 16.5%-17.0% for FY2026 from 18.6% in Q3, reflecting the contract modification's profitability impact.
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Share Repurchases and Dividend
Repurchased 0.75M shares for $50.4M in Q3; $400M authorization remains. Declared quarterly dividend of $0.33 per share, payable August 31, 2026.
Analysis · MMS · Trade & Services
Maximus reported a 5% revenue decline to $1.28B, missing the $1.33B consensus, driven by lower disaster and clinical volumes. Adjusted EPS of $2.22 beat by $0.06, but the company cut full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $7.90-$8.20 from a prior implied ~$8.50 midpoint due to a temporary customer-directed contractual modification on a major federal program effective July 1. This modification reduces profitability expectations for the remainder of FY2026, with U.S. Federal Services segment operating margin now seen at 16.5%-17.0% vs. 18.6% in Q3. The stock may react negatively to the guidance cut despite the EPS beat, as the contract change introduces uncertainty into a key profit driver. The company also repurchased $50.4M in shares and declared a $0.33 dividend, signaling confidence in its financial position.
At the time of this filing, MMS was trading at $58.80 on NYSE in the Trade & Services sector, with a market capitalization of approximately $3.3B. The 52-week trading range was $52.73 to $100.00. This filing was assessed with negative market sentiment and an importance score of 8 out of 10.