Mizuho Lifts FY2026 Profit Outlook by ¥100B as Q1 Earnings Jump 45%
MFG sits 70% above its 52-week low of $5.74 on elevated volume (2.0× avg).
Summary
Mizuho Financial Group posted a 45.5% jump in Q1 FY2026 profit to ¥422.9 billion, raised its full-year profit forecast by ¥100 billion, and increased its dividend estimate — signaling strong operating momentum and improving credit quality.
Key Events · Earnings and Guidance · MFG
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Q1 Profit Surges 45.5%
Driven by higher net interest income, trading gains, and fee income, profit attributable to owners of parent rose to ¥422.9 billion, up from ¥290.5 billion a year earlier.
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Full-Year Forecast Raised by ¥100B
Reflecting the strong first-quarter performance and a positive outlook, management lifted the FY2026 profit forecast to ¥1,400 billion, a 12.1% increase over FY2025.
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Dividend Estimate Increased
Signaling confidence in sustained earnings growth, the annual dividend estimate was raised to ¥150 per share, up from ¥145 in FY2025.
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Credit Quality Improves
The NPL ratio improved to 0.70% from 0.80% at March 31, 2026, as total non-performing loans declined by ¥77.4 billion.
Analysis · MFG · Finance
A standout first quarter saw profit attributable to owners climb 45.5% to ¥422.9 billion, fueled by broad-based revenue strength. Ordinary profits surged 62.5%, reflecting higher net interest income, trading gains, and fee income. In response, management raised the full-year profit forecast by ¥100 billion to ¥1,400 billion — a 12.1% increase over FY2025 — and lifted the annual dividend estimate to ¥150 per share. Credit quality also improved, with the NPL ratio falling to 0.70%. The results reinforce the earnings momentum seen in the prior fiscal year and suggest the bank is comfortably on track to exceed its medium-term targets.
At the time of this filing, MFG was trading at $9.75 on NYSE in the Finance sector, with a market capitalization of approximately $121B. The 52-week trading range was $5.74 to $10.79. This filing was assessed with positive market sentiment and an importance score of 8 out of 10.