Moody's Reports Strong Q4 & Full-Year 2025 Results, Provides Positive 2026 Outlook
MCO is trading near its 52-week low of $378.71 (13% above the low) on elevated volume (1.9× avg).
Summary
Moody's announced strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results, with significant revenue and EPS growth, and provided an optimistic outlook for 2026, including plans for substantial share repurchases.
Key Events · Earnings and Guidance · MCO
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Strong Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Performance
Moody's reported Q4 2025 revenue of $1.9 billion, up 13%, and diluted EPS of $3.41, up 57%. Full-year 2025 revenue reached $7.7 billion, an increase of 9%, with diluted EPS growing 21% to $13.67.
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Positive 2026 Financial Outlook
The company projects 2026 revenue to increase in the high-single-digit percent range and diluted EPS to be between $15.00 and $15.60, indicating continued growth and operational efficiency.
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Significant Capital Allocation Plans
Moody's repurchased 0.9 million shares in Q4 2025 at an average cost of $485.55 per share, with approximately $4.0 billion in share repurchase authority remaining. The company plans approximately $2.0 billion in share repurchases for 2026 and declared a quarterly dividend of $1.03 per share.
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Segmental Growth and Margin Expansion
Moody's Analytics (MA) revenue grew 9% in Q4 2025, and Moody's Investors Service (MIS) revenue increased 17%, marking its strongest fourth quarter on record. Both segments contributed to overall operating margin expansion.
Analysis · MCO · Trade & Services
Moody's Corporation delivered robust financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, exceeding prior-year results with significant revenue and EPS growth. The company's positive outlook for 2026, projecting high-single-digit revenue growth and continued margin expansion, suggests sustained operational strength. The substantial share repurchase authorization and consistent dividend declaration underscore a commitment to shareholder returns and confidence in future cash flow generation. Investors should monitor the execution of the 2026 guidance, particularly the balance between revenue growth in both Moody's Analytics and Moody's Investors Service segments, and the impact of capital allocation strategies.
At the time of this filing, MCO was trading at $429.00 on NYSE in the Trade & Services sector, with a market capitalization of approximately $75.5B. The 52-week trading range was $378.71 to $546.88. This filing was assessed with positive market sentiment and an importance score of 8 out of 10.