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GEF
NYSE Manufacturing

Cost Cuts Drive 87% Q3 Earnings Surge at Greif; FY26 EBITDA Guidance Raised to $615M–$635M, $150M Buyback Launched

Arie Shkolnikov · Analysis by Wiseek AI
More coverage: Packaging Stocks · Materials
Sentiment info
Positive
Importance info
7
Price
$85.99
Mkt Cap
$4.431B
52W Low
$55.75
52W High
$88.5
52W Position info
54% above low
Off High info
2.8% below high
Rel. Volume info
0.4× avg
Market data snapshot near publication time

GEF sits 54% above its 52-week low of $55.75 on light trading volume (0.4× avg).

Summary

Greif posted Q3 adjusted EBITDA of $183.4M (+25% YoY) and raised FY2026 guidance. A new $150M buyback and a 10.7% dividend hike underscore strong cash flow and balance sheet strength.


Key Events · Earnings and Guidance · GEF

  • Q3 Earnings Beat

    Adjusted EBITDA rose 25% to $183.4M, while adjusted EPS nearly doubled to $1.61 from $0.86 a year ago, driven by cost optimization and price/cost gains.

  • FY2026 Guidance Raised

    Adjusted EBITDA guidance was lifted to $615M–$635M (from a $610M low end), implying 10–13% growth; adjusted free cash flow is seen at $305M–$325M.

  • New $150M Share Buyback

    The board approved an additional $150M repurchase plan, adding to the $150M completed earlier this year; management views the stock as attractive.

  • Dividend Increased 10.7%

    The quarterly dividend was raised to $0.62 per Class A share, reflecting strong free cash flow and confidence in long-term earnings power.


Analysis · GEF · Manufacturing

A strong quarter saw adjusted EBITDA climb 25% to $183.4 million and adjusted EPS nearly double to $1.61, powered by cost optimization and favorable price/cost dynamics. Reflecting confidence in its cash generation, the company raised full-year EBITDA guidance to $615–$635 million and unveiled a new $150 million share repurchase plan. The balance sheet remains robust with leverage at just 1.1x, while the bolt-on Envaplast acquisition strengthens its position in agrochemical markets. Although industrial demand is still uneven, these results demonstrate that structural improvements are translating into higher earnings power.

At the time of this filing, GEF was trading at $85.99 on NYSE in the Manufacturing sector, with a market capitalization of approximately $4.4B. The 52-week trading range was $55.75 to $88.50. This filing was assessed with positive market sentiment and an importance score of 7 out of 10.

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