Fannie Mae Q3 2026: Net Income $4.2B, Credit Provision Triples to $1.1B
FNMA sits 41% above its 52-week low of $2.96.
Summary
Fannie Mae earned $4.2 billion in Q3 2026, but its credit loss provision tripled to $1.1 billion and the company still carries a $205 billion capital shortfall plus a persistent material weakness in disclosure controls.
Key Events · Earnings and Guidance · FNMA
-
Q3 Net Income Rises to $4.2 Billion
Net income was $4.177 billion versus $3.859 billion a year earlier, and $11.879 billion for the first nine months versus $10.837 billion, driven by a $344 million increase in net revenues and $617 million more in fair value gains.
-
Credit Provision Triples to $1.1 Billion
The provision for credit losses was $1.140 billion in Q3 2026 versus $338 million a year earlier, including a $446 million multifamily provision versus $69 million, on weaker property values and lower debt service coverage.
-
Net Worth $119.6 Billion, Capital Gap Persists
Net worth rose $10.6 billion in the first nine months to $119.6 billion, but the company still reports a $205 billion shortfall to its risk-based adjusted total capital requirement including buffers and a $173 billion CET1 shortfall.
-
Material Weakness in Disclosure Controls
Management concluded disclosure controls and procedures were not effective as of September 30, 2026, and said the material weakness tied to FHFA's dual conservator/regulator role is not expected to be remediated while conservatorship continues.
Analysis · FNMA · Finance
Fannie Mae earned $4.177 billion in Q3 2026, $318 million more than a year earlier, but the quality of that earnings beat is weaker than the headline: the provision for credit losses tripled to $1.140 billion from $338 million, with multifamily provisioning alone jumping to $446 million from $69 million on weaker property values and lower debt service coverage. Net worth climbed $10.6 billion in the first nine months to $119.6 billion, yet the company still reports a $205 billion shortfall to its risk-based adjusted total capital requirement including buffers, and the $120.8 billion senior preferred stock does not count as regulatory capital. The filing also restates that disclosure controls were not effective and that a material weakness persists for as long as conservatorship lasts, and it confirms the D.C. Circuit denied the en banc rehearing petition on October 16, 2026, leaving roughly $499 million of damages and prejudgment interest outstanding with a Supreme Court petition window open for 90 days. For common holders the practical read-through is that earnings accrue to the liquidation preference — which rises to $241.1 billion at year-end — not to the equity, and the October 22 executive order adds new mandates whose cost is not yet quantified.
How filings like this one have moved
In the 30 days to Oct 28, 2026, 36.5% of the 953 measured filings Wiseek scored 8 moved their stock by 5% or more by the next session's close. The median move was -0.66%. These are measured outcomes after filings of this importance, not a forecast for this one.
Measured one observation per ticker per day, after exclusions. Current figures: Filing Impact Tracker · open dataset
At the time of this filing, FNMA was trading at $4.17 on OTC in the Finance sector, with a market capitalization of approximately $5B. The 52-week trading range was $2.96 to $12.39. This filing was assessed with negative market sentiment and an importance score of 8 out of 10.