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AA
NYSE Manufacturing

Alcoa Posts Record $3.97B Revenue, $2.12 EPS; Cuts Alumina Output View on Cyclone Hit

Arie Shkolnikov · Analysis by Wiseek AI
More coverage: Industrial
Sentiment info
Positive
Importance info
9
Price
$44.8
Mkt Cap
$12.363B
52W Low
$28.11
52W High
$84.38
52W Position info
59% above low
Off High info
47% below high
Rel. Volume info
1.2× avg
Market data snapshot near publication time

AA sits 59% above its 52-week low of $28.11.

Summary

Alcoa reported record Q2 revenue of $3.97 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.12, beating expectations, but cut alumina production guidance due to cyclone-related disruptions at its Pinjarra refinery.


Key Events · Earnings and Guidance · AA

  • Record Revenue and Earnings Beat

    Q2 revenue hit a record $3.97 billion, up 24% sequentially, with adjusted EPS of $2.12, driven by higher aluminum prices and shipments.

  • Alumina Production Guidance Cut

    Full-year alumina production guidance reduced by 0.2-0.3 million metric tons to 9.5-9.6 million metric tons due to instability at the Pinjarra refinery worsened by Cyclone Narelle.

  • Strong Cash Generation

    Cash from operations was $608 million, free cash flow was $422 million, and the company redeemed the remaining $219 million of 6.125% Senior Notes due 2028.

  • Strategic Acquisition Context

    The strong results come two weeks after Alcoa announced a $4.1 billion acquisition of South32's bauxite, alumina, and aluminum assets, reinforcing its upstream position.


Analysis · AA · Manufacturing

Alcoa delivered a blowout second quarter, with revenue surging 24% sequentially to a record $3.97 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.12 crushing estimates. The strong results were driven by higher aluminum prices and shipments, including the completion of the San Ciprián smelter restart. However, the company lowered its full-year alumina production guidance by 0.2-0.3 million metric tons after Cyclone Narelle exacerbated instability at the Pinjarra refinery in Australia. The earnings beat and robust free cash flow of $422 million provide a strong financial backdrop as Alcoa pursues its $4.1 billion acquisition of South32's assets, announced just two weeks ago.

How filings like this one have moved

In the 30 days to Oct 7, 2026, 42.5% of the 318 measured filings Wiseek scored 9 moved their stock by 5% or more by the next session's close. The median move was -0.68%. These are measured outcomes after filings of this importance, not a forecast for this one.

Measured one observation per ticker per day, after exclusions. Current figures: Filing Impact Tracker · open dataset

At the time of this filing, AA was trading at $44.80 on NYSE in the Manufacturing sector, with a market capitalization of approximately $12.4B. The 52-week trading range was $28.11 to $84.38. This filing was assessed with positive market sentiment and an importance score of 9 out of 10.

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AA - Latest Insights

AA
Sep 23, 2026, 4:33 PM EDT
Filing Type: 8-K
Importance Score:
7
Price at Filing: $44.04
Real-time Price: $42.26 info
Change: -$1.78 (-4%) info
Market Cap: $11.153B info
AA
Sep 23, 2026, 4:15 PM EDT
Source: BusinessWire
Importance Score:
7
Price at Filing: $44.04
Real-time Price: $42.26 info
Change: -$1.78 (-4%) info
Market Cap: $11.153B info
AA
Sep 11, 2026, 4:38 PM EDT
Filing Type: 425
Importance Score:
7
Price at Filing: $48.26
Real-time Price: $42.26 info
Change: -$6.00 (-12%) info
Market Cap: $11.153B info
AA
Sep 11, 2026, 8:22 AM EDT
Filing Type: 425
Importance Score:
8
Price at Filing: $48.17
Real-time Price: $42.26 info
Change: -$5.91 (-12%) info
Market Cap: $11.153B info
AA
Sep 11, 2026, 8:18 AM EDT
Filing Type: 8-K
Importance Score:
7
Price at Filing: $48.29
Real-time Price: $42.26 info
Change: -$6.03 (-12%) info
Market Cap: $11.153B info